Five Trends of China's Automobile Industry in 2006


2006 was the first year of the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” and it carried the passion and dream of the Chinese auto industry. Chinese auto experts examine themselves with a more rational vision and summarize several major trends in the Chinese auto industry.

National III emission standards gradually spread

The increasingly severe environmental problems and the increasingly prominent air pollution have also made the Chinese auto industry, which is making great progress, face tests. As an important source of pollution, automobile exhaust emissions have reached a point where improvement must be made. On December 30 last year, Beijing officially implemented the National III emission standards, and several major cities such as Shenzhen, Guangzhou, and Shanghai will follow Beijing and implement the National III standard this year. With the introduction of relevant policies and regulations of the State III and the improvement and popularization of the OBD system (the diagnostic system for loading vehicles), the National III standard will gradually become popular throughout the country.

Hybrid technology becomes a new trend

In the increasingly tense energy situation, diesel vehicles, hydrogen-powered vehicles, and gas-fueled dual-fuel vehicles have all become energy-saving vanguards, and Toyota's Prius hybrid electric vehicle is even more unique in terms of energy efficiency in automobiles. However, due to a variety of reasons such as costs and technology transfer costs, it is still not possible to do so. However, with the popularization of core electronic equipment technology, the price of hybrid vehicles will plummet. If the policy is in place, as long as the manufacturers do not continue to lose money, hybrid vehicles have the potential to become popular. Currently, in the latest NDRC product catalog, the chassis of the hybrid bus and the Dongfeng hybrid bus have all appeared. In the field of cars, SAIC, Chang'an, and Chery have already produced hybrid prototypes, and commercialization is just around the corner.

Small displacement cars are popular

The comprehensive lifting of the ban on “small policies” this year is undoubtedly a boon for companies that produce small-displacement vehicles; for the average consumer, it has accelerated the pace of entry into the automobile life. It is understood that in the European market currently selling cars, small-displacement vehicles account for 65%, while China only accounts for about 20% of total sales. Under the current trend of energy conservation and environmental protection, with the improvement of the comprehensive quality standards for small-displacement products, it is obvious that the reasons for controlling urban congestion and protecting the road environment as “small restrictions” obviously cannot be established.

50:50 joint venture bottom line may break

In recent years, the state’s support for independent research and development has become more and more important, requiring joint ventures to make more efforts on their own brands. It has become impractical for the joint venture’s Chinese side to rely on foreign products to enjoy the idea. Not long ago, the state planned to rectify automobile expansion projects, require new vehicle projects, and expand the production capacity of existing enterprises, all must meet the conditions for independent brands and independent development. When the expansion of joint ventures must serve Chinese self-owned brands, the largest limit to foreign capital is not the 50:50 joint venture bottom line. Whether the joint venture is passively accepted or actively assumes important responsibilities, its own brand must do something. . In this way, the fixed 50:50 joint venture model since 1994 will likely break. This is undoubtedly a great opportunity for Chinese auto companies.

Fuel tax reforms are on the chord

As early as 1997, the then-promulgated "Highway Law" proposed that "fuel surcharges be used instead of road maintenance fees." After that, the fuel tax reform has become a hot topic year after year. The scientific nature of the fuel tax is to change the taxation from the purchase phase to the use phase, which can promote the use of small-displacement vehicles. Its sound containment of private consumption of passenger vehicles can allow owners to analyze the cost of the car more rationally and choose the small-displacement car that suits them, instead of greed for the sake of perfection.

Self-owned brands gradually become stronger

According to data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, there are now 355 Chinese auto brands, 69% owned brands, and 31% foreign brands. However, the car brand is relatively weak. Among the 100 car brands, there are only 37 independent brands. In fact, despite not many auto brands, the market share has been expanding year by year. According to statistics from the National Association of Passenger Cars, the sales of self-owned brand cars in China exceeded 600,000 units in 2005, and the market share has reached 25%, an increase of 5 percentage points over the previous year. Some experts predict that the growth rate of self-owned brand cars in China this year will exceed 2005, and the market share will also reach more than 30%. (


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