In the first half of 2012, the production and sales of China's auto market increased year-on-year, of which production was 7.5417 million units, an increase of 7.3% year-on-year; wholesale sales volume was 7,594,600 units, an increase of 6.5% year-on-year
The National Passenger Vehicle Market Information Association (hereinafter referred to as the “Training Associationâ€) released China’s auto market production and sales data for the first half of 2012 on July 6. Production and sales have all achieved year-on-year growth, of which production was 754.17 million units, an increase of 7.3% year-on-year; Sales volume was 7,594,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 6.5%.
The CLUCC believes that since the growth of the general passenger vehicle is more than 12% year-on-year, it can completely offset the negative growth of commercial vehicles, and the cumulative sales volume of the entire automobile market will increase. The increase in passenger car exports is more encouraging, but the domestic sales of domestic-funded companies are still falling.
For July, the Federation Secretary General Rao Da believes that the introduction of the Guangzhou auto restriction policy, coupled with the economic situation did not significantly improve by the end of June, will affect the growth rate of cumulative sales of passenger car market in the coming months. At the end of the second quarter, manufacturers will press heavily, and in July manufacturers will allow dealers to recuperate, so do not expect sales to be high in July.
In the second half of the year, the growth rate of the auto market is slightly longer. For the judgment of the auto market in the second half of the year, the CCC believes that in the 4th quarter of 2010, there was a peak of production and sales volume of Tibetan autos, and a total of more than 500,000 units of Tibetan auto production and sales were spit out in early 2011. Statistical sales. At the end of 2011, only 100,000 vehicles were sold by manufacturers and spit out at the beginning of this year. In this way, 400,000 more units will be sold in the first half of this year than in the previous year, and statistics will be the same as last year. In the first half of this year, there was positive growth after the flat rate, indicating that the auto market actually had a relatively high growth rate in the first half of this year.
In general, sales in the first half of the year are lower than those in the second half of the year. Due to the Tibetan sales, the statistical sales in both 2010 and the first half of 2011 are higher than in the second half of the year. This abnormal phenomenon will end this year. On the one hand, this year The sales volume spit out of the Tibet Autonomous Region at the beginning of the year was greatly reduced. On the other hand, the passenger vehicle market recovered significantly in the first half of this year, laying the foundation for higher production and sales volume in the second half of this year. The growth rate of the passenger car market will continue to increase this year. The minibus market is better than we estimated at the beginning of the year. Accumulative sales in July will definitely be able to increase from negative to positive.
The results of the Greek election and the results of the EU summit will boost market confidence in the short term. Therefore, the growth rate of the automobile market will be slightly higher in the second half of this year. In the other three quarters, there were 66 working days, five days more than in the second quarter, which was a year-on-year increase of two days. This also determined that the national economy and automobile market will slightly increase the cumulative growth rate in the third quarter.
In the second half of last year, the commercial vehicle market was at a low level. In the first half of this year, the commercial vehicle market has reached the bottom, and the negative growth rate of commercial vehicle sales in the second half of the year will decrease. The C-community adheres to the forecast at the beginning of the year: the growth rate of general passenger vehicles for the whole year is about 10%. The growth rate of automobiles is about 7%, and the total sales volume of cars is about 19.8 million.
Although the production and sales of self-owned brands have increased year-on-year, there are signs of recovery in the first half of the year, but it is still difficult for auto companies to complete their half-year sales tasks, especially for self-owned brands.
Due to the expectation of the warming at the beginning of the year, the crowded car companies set a higher annual sales task at that time. According to statistics, domestic auto companies have sold more than 20 million vehicles this year, an increase of 10% year-on-year. However, the latest statistics released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (hereinafter referred to as "China Automobile Association") show that major auto makers completed only 8 million sales in January-May. In other words, if you want to achieve the goal of selling 10 million vehicles in the first half of the year, the sales pressure in June will be great.
In the market, the phenomenon of the backlog of companies is more and heavier, and some local dealers even have a stock ratio of 1:3. An industry insider who did not wish to be named stated that not only the interests of distributors but also a series of unfavorable influences will be caused by a large number of warehouse damages, and this is also a kind of bad sales statistics.
Even so, many domestic brands have completed their half-year tasks quite hard. According to the statistics of the Federation of Sports Associations, the top ten passenger car sales rankings, only Great Wall Motor enters the top ten, its half-year mission is 300,000 (600,000 vehicles throughout the year), but in the latest statistics, its Only 270,000 units were completed in half a year; Chery Automobile was far away from its half-year mission (350,000 vehicles) and nearly 280,000 vehicles in half a year.
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